Fire Crux MageTier 2
at AMB Massachusetts Regionals
decks
2
(5.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-4-1
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.0%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
40.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1253
· median 1253
· range 1117–1389
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1196
Q3 1397
1638
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 15.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.3% | -13.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Polkhawk | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.8% | +10.9 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
